Connect with us

Popular World News

Argentina’s ‘Achilles heel’ of dollar debt could lead to downgrade: Fitch’s McCormack By Reuters

Argentina's 'Achilles heel' of dollar debt could lead to downgrade: Fitch's McCormack By Reuters


Argentina’s ‘Achilles heel’ of dollar debt could lead to downgrade: Fitch’s McCormack By Reuters


By Cassandra Garrison

BUENOS AIRES (Reuters) – Argentina could be downgraded again by Fitch Ratings if further weakness in the peso boosts the risk of default, the agency’s head of sovereign ratings said in an interview on Tuesday.

Argentina has issued billions of dollars worth of bonds denominated in U.S. currency. Prospects of repaying the debt have dimmed since the peso’s 18% crash last week after business-friendly President Mauricio Macri got trounced in the Aug. 11 primary election by center-left rival Alberto Fernandez, now the favorite to win the October presidential election.

“The Argentine government tends to borrow in foreign currency either domestically or abroad, so that reliance on foreign currency borrowing is the Achilles heel of the sovereign credit here,” James McCormack, Fitch’s head of sovereign ratings, told Reuters in Buenos Aires.

“It introduces a vulnerability to exchange rate fluctuations that many other countries simply don’t face,” McCormack added.

Fitch downgraded Argentina’s sovereign debt on Friday from ‘B’ to ‘CCC,’ while S&P lowered its rating to ‘B-‘ from ‘B.’ The peso tumbled nearly 20% last week, forcing the central bank to tap into its reserves with dollar auctions.

Markets were shaken by Fernandez’s wider-than-expected primary election win, which cast doubt on the future of Macri’s free-market economic policies and Argentina’s IMF-backed austerity plan.

As Argentina’s main parties had already selected their presidential candidates, the primary election was effectively an opinion poll for the Oct. 27 presidential election.

McCormack said at a presentation in Buenos Aires that the ‘CCC’ rating means a debt restructuring or default is seen as “possible” but “not probable.”

In a subsequent interview, McCormack said policy changes that could increase the likelihood of a default would be a factor in whether Argentina is downgraded further.

“What kind of policies might lead to that? Policies that would result in a further depreciation of the exchange rate and a lack of confidence in the macro framework,” McCormack said.

Economic relief measures announced by Macri last week, including personal income and food tax cuts, would have a slightly negative fiscal effect but not enough to further hurt the country’s credit rating, McCormack said.

Fitch executives said they were scheduled to meet one or two economists from the Fernandez camp while McCormack was in Buenos Aires. They were also scheduled to meet Central Bank chief Guido Sandleris.

They may also meet Finance Secretary Santiago Bausili and Sebastian Katz, who just joined the team of Macri’s new Treasury Minister Hernan Lacunza.

McCormack said they generally review credits twice a year, but in the case of Argentina, it will be an ongoing assessment.

“It’s a credit we have to pay attention to… things could change quickly,” McCormack said.

Fernandez has said he would seek to “re-work” Argentina’s $57-billion standby agreement with the IMF, whose next review of Argentina’s economy on Sept. 15 should signal whether the lender of last resort still thinks the country can pay its debt obligations. Government bonds denominated in dollars are harder to pay when the peso weakens.

Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data.

Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.


Source link

Continue Reading
You may also like...
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *


To Top
error: Content is protected !!